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independence3 unconnected
standing

contested · 1 claims against 1

applies to

b2b, no audience needed

confidence

high

evidence

3 claims · 3 articles · 3 receipts

window

2019-07-012022-11-12

3 builders who never spoke to each other · contested

Fix the number that decides if the launch worked

Write down before you announce what result will count, so the launch settles the question rather than leaving it open. Justin Welsh named a revenue figure the product had to clear, Bhanu Teja named one he was confident of beating, and Cory Zue picked the single metric he could actually move over a month. The number also tells you when to stop.


What both sides agree on

  • For a growth sprint pick one metric you can actually move, and when you do not yet know your purchase rate, use signups because it forces work on both traffic and conversion.

Where this splits

Welsh sets a bar high enough that missing it kills the idea, while Bhanu Teja deliberately sets one small enough that clearing it is close to certain.

1 claims against 1

Justin Welsh

Set a bar that kills the idea if missed

  1. 01Decide the revenue figure that will count as validation before you announce, so the launch either clears the bar or the idea is dropped.
the objection · 1 claimBhanu Teja

Set a target small enough you will clear it

Set a first month target small enough that you can clear it, then let the real number surprise you.


What it returned

  • $5,000

    His stated targets were $5,000 of sales with no more than $50 and ten minutes of his own time spent on the product itself; the outcome was $7,500 for $40.93.

  • 19

    Target for June was one paying customer. He ended the month with 19 paying customers and $141 MRR.

  • 30

    Zue targeted signups for SaaS Pegasus during a 30-day challenge, going from 21 to 87 over the month.


Sources


the second source

Three plays a week, for the phase you are in

No roundup of links, no news. Three tactics more than one builder arrived at separately, with the numbers each one returned and the disagreements left in.

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the second source

Three plays a week, for the phase you are in

No roundup of links, no news. Three tactics more than one builder arrived at separately, with the numbers each one returned and the disagreements left in.

963 corroborated plays to draw from · 3 a week

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