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independenceone source · 1 more author in those circles
applies to

b2b and consumer, no audience needed

confidence

medium

evidence

6 claims · 5 articles · 3 receipts

window

2025-05-042025-05-04

a single source, nothing corroborates it

Reconstruct the chain that led to a purchase

Model buying as a sequence rather than a visit that ends in a decision: what first put the thing in their head, who was talking about it, what changed, and what happened after the payment. Practise on your own receipts, where the chain can run for years, and use it to spot the moment a person crosses from wanting to needing, such as a hobbyist outgrowing the manual workaround.


The method

  1. 01

    Reconstruct the chain of events leading to a purchase rather than just the moment of purchase, because that sequence tells you what actually triggers buying - and it can run for decades.

  2. 02

    Reconstruct the actual chain of events that preceded a purchase instead of modelling buying as one visit that ends in a decision.

  3. 03

    Map the events on either side of the payment notification - what drove the person to look, and whether they used, liked and recommended the product afterwards.

  4. 04

    Practise the analysis on your own receipts: take a recent purchase and answer when you first considered it, what the circumstances were, who was recommending or discussing it, what problem it solved, and what job you hired it to do.

  5. 05

    Time your pitch to the moment a hobbyist outgrows their manual workaround or hits an audience milestone, since that is when the purchase becomes a need rather than an aspiration.


What it returned

  • $26

    The author's $26 of comics traced back 25 years to a lost gift at his eighth birthday party, not to a decision made while ill in bed.

  • 2011

    Justin traced his own purchase of Sprint.ly back through at least seven touch points spanning May 2011 to June 2012, more than a year from first trigger to payment.

  • 30,000

    Justin's trigger examples: a newsletter grown too big to send by hand from Gmail, a YouTube audience asking for a Spotify audio version, two years of weekend DJ income funding a PA upgrade, 30,000 Instagram followers justifying a better phone camera, and a band with five shows behind it ordering merch.


Sources


the second source

Three plays a week, for the phase you are in

No roundup of links, no news. Three tactics more than one builder arrived at separately, with the numbers each one returned and the disagreements left in.

One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click, and the address is used for this and nothing else.


More in other

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the second source

Three plays a week, for the phase you are in

No roundup of links, no news. Three tactics more than one builder arrived at separately, with the numbers each one returned and the disagreements left in.

963 corroborated plays to draw from · 3 a week

One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click, and the address is used for this and nothing else.